Comparing Forecast Skill

Enhanced seasonal forecast skill following

Forecast and analysis assessment through skill scores

Diagnosing Sources of U.S. Seasonal Forecast Skill

Enhanced seasonal forecast skill following stratospheric sudden warmings

Will Arctic sea ice thickness initialization improve seasonal forecast skill?

Arctic sea ice thickness is thought to be an important predictor of Arctic sea ice extent. However, coupled seasonal forecast systems do not generally use sea ice thickness observations in their initialization and are therefore missing a potentially important source of additional skill. To investigate how large this source is, a set of ensemble potential predictability experiments with a global...